|

|
|

|
05/21/2010Late Surge Sends Wall Street Higher"'Definitely
people think we are not out of the woods yet,' said Justin Golden, a senior
strategist for Macro Risk Advisors, who said institutional investors at least
were awaiting further developments in Europe over the handling of the debt
crisis. He said the market still had a credit problem and was in 'crisis mode. I
wouldn’t be ringing the all-clear bell until the VIX is back to 30 or so.'”
... |
|

|
05/20/2010VIX, VStoxx Surge Amid Divided Response to European Debt
Crisis"'Investors sell what they have to create cash, which is
a sign of extreme fear,' said Justin Golden, a strategist at New York-based
Macro Risk Advisors LLC, which advises institutions on equity derivatives.
'Market makers are pricing things in an extreme panic mode and some customers
have interest in trading very high strikes in the VIX as they’re preparing for
higher levels of volatility.'” ... |
|

|
05/19/2010Despite Rescue Plan, Euro-Zone Debt Still A Worry For Investors
"'Investors feel like Europe is kind of reaching the end of
its string," said Justin Golden, strategist at Macro Risk Advisors, a broker
dealer that advises institutional investors. "We may have averted a catastrophe
in the near term, but we look at longer-term measures of fear and (they are)
still very high.'” ... |
|

|
|
|
|
05/10/2010Stocks Soar After Europe Announces Rescue
Plan"Justin Golden, a senior strategist for Macro Risk
Advisors, said he and colleagues worked through the night on Sunday, calling
clients and exchanging messages on a chat system to try to make sense of the
European announcement and to gauge how it would affect stocks and options
prices. ...Some analysts had said the European Central Bank had missed an
opportunity to take bold action last Thursday, so the size, if not the action,
was a real surprise. … 'We are calling it a financial bazooka,' he said."
... |
|

|
|
|

|
05/07/2010U.S. Indexes Negative for 2010"'We should expect
volatility in the near term. Up 5% or down 5%, both make sense right now,' said
Justin Golden, strategist for Macro Risk Advisors.” ... |
|

|
05/04/2010The Greek Debt Crisis: Europe's Three Blind
Mice"While many traders are nervously watching the euro and
the prices of credit default swaps on European sovereign debt, Justin Golden, a
strategist with Macro Risk Advisors, says his biggest concern is the growing
correlation of trading in European bank stocks. The lingering trend seems to
suggest that investors are very doubtful that the bailouts will stop with a
one-off rescue for Greece.” ... |
|

|
05/04/2010Stock Market Disconnect in Options Revewling Unsustainable
Risk"U.S. stocks are rallying the most in seven decades,
housing prices are stabilizing and the economy is expanding again after the
worst recession since the Great Depression. Yet Dean Curnutt, founder of options
advisory and brokerage firm Macro Risk Advisors LLC in New York, is wary.”
... |
|

|
04/27/2010European Shares Plunge as Greece, Portugal rating Cut at
S&P"'The severity of the situation is growing as investors
fear that any kind of aid package will not be broad enough to cover Greece,
Spain and Portugal,' said Justin Golden, a strategist at New York-based Macro
Risk Advisors LLC, which advises institutions on equity derivatives. 'If there
is a run on Greek or Portuguese banks, we would be very fearful of what that
will do to the Western European banking system.'” ... |
|

|
04/26/2010VIX Spotting: Behind Uncertainty, More
Uncertainty"Dean Curnutt, president of Macro Risk Advisors, a
New York City-based derivatives brokerage, said he believes the VIX has proven
itself to be a reliable gauge of bubble formations and significant market
swings. It deserves respect as a hedging instrument, in other words, not just as
an indicator."... |
|

|
04/03/2010Jobs Data Will Drive Trading in Comin
Week"'Regardless, this is still one data point, and the market
is not comfortable with the health of the economy in terms of longer-term
prospects of job growth,' says Justin Golden, a strategist at Macro Risk
Advisors. 'While it has perked up, we still have nearly 10% unemployment, and
those figures still cause great concern down the
road.'"... |
|

|
03/19/2010Analysts scramble to decipher calmer Vix"'The
Vix really tends to track the day-to-day movements in the S&P 500,' says
Dean Curnutt, president of Macro Risk Advisors. 'The folks that are setting the
Vix are trading equity volatility and they’re just responding to how much
volatility the market is experiencing now. We found that the Vix does not do a
good job of looking forward.'"... |
|

|
03/12/2010Easing China 'Fear' Gauges Are Bullish for
Stocks"The spread has remained close to 10, building support
for China’s stocks, said Justin Golden, a strategist at New York-based Macro
Risk Advisors. The lower spread is 'bullish because in times of market turmoil
investors will pay a high premium to hedge Chinese stocks as they tend to be
quite volatile,' Golden, a strategist at New York-based Macro Risk, said in an
e-mail interview. 'The qualitative concerns around China tightening or letting
the yuan appreciate are well documented and are priced
in.'"... |
|

|
03/07/2010Relationship over? Dollar, stocks break
up"Another factor helping U.S. stocks is a sharp pickup in
corporate deal activity. Kraft Foods Inc.'s purchase of British candymaker
Cadbury PLC and other bold acquisitions have investors 'excited,' said Justin
Golden, a strategist at Macro Risk Advisors. Corporate deals send a signal to
markets that businesses are confident about the economy, able to raise funds and
think that some companies are undervalued — all positive factors for
stocks."... |
|

|
03/08/2010Volatility ebbs but Wall Street is flat"'What we
are seeing is the market drifting higher in the absence of significant news
flow,' said Justin Golden, a strategist at Macro Risk Advisors, a New York-based
equity derivatives strategy and execution brokerage. 'President Sarkozy’s
comments over the weekend [pledging support to the Greek government] were taken
as an important vote of confidence.'[…] 'The Vix has closed down 16 out of the
last 18 sessions – we haven’t seen it do that in such a consistent manner since
1997. [The low level] suggests that the Vix is not fully reflecting the amount
of risk in the market right now,' said Mr Golden."... |
|

|
03/01/2010Riding on the storm: benefit from volatile
markets"Dean Curnutt is president of Macro Risk Advisors, a
derivatives strategy firm and broker-dealership. Working with some of the
world’s largest institutional investors, Dean focuses on volatility and risk and
applying it to the market. He answers your questions on the best ways to benefit
from volatile markets below."... |
|

|
|
|

|
02/19/2010China Options Show Biggest Risk of Stock Drop in
Year"'There’s been outsized demand for downside puts,' said
Justin Golden, a strategist at New York-based Macro Risk Advisors LLC, which
advises institutions on equity derivatives. 'This is related to a heightened
degree of uncertainty around the speed at which China will tighten policy in
addition to the potential for a currency revaluation at some point in the near
future.'"... |
|

|
02/05/2010Turnaround Offers Crisis Flashback"Since January
11, stocks and gold have moved in the same direction 80% of the time, according
to research firm Macro Risk Advisors, up from just 11% between April and August
of last year, when stocks enjoyed perhaps their strongest rally.”
... |
|

|
02/03/2010Record Rating Actions Wave Red Flags"'How much
of that is due to end demand, or is it being driven by government stimulus?'
asked Justin Golden, strategist at Macro Risk Advisors, a derivatives and
volatility strategy firm. With the U.S. deficit now in focus, domestic spending
may be reined in and 'the sovereign risk hot potato going on in Europe right
now,' combined with China's curbs on lending, could result in a drop in global
demand, he warned. For investors, playing the austerity trade means 'you want to
be long the dollar, out of your emerging market exposure, and out of commodity,
mining and materials,' Golden said."... |
|

|
01/26/2010Bearish Emerging Market Options Rise to 17-Month
High"'Emerging markets are a source of unease,' Dean Curnutt,
president of New York-based Macro Risk Advisors LLC, which advises institutions
on derivatives, wrote in a note to clients. Investors 'are starting to make
their bets in ETFs that are directly or indirectly related to China,' he
wrote"... |
|
|
01/25/2010Decline in U.S. Stocks Pays Options Traders 75 Profit on
VIX"'The biggest sell-off in the Standard & Poor’s 500
Index since March is rewarding options traders who bet on a surge in volatility
with gains of 75 percent. 'It’s been a nice shift for some people,' said Justin
Golden, a strategist at New York-based Macro Risk Advisors LLC, which advises
institutions on equity derivatives. 'Before this week, the long options
community had been very frustrated. Volatility has been on a downward path.'”
... |
|

|
01/25/2010Decline in U.S. Stocks Pays Options Traders 75 Profit on
VIX"'The biggest sell-off in the Standard & Poor’s 500
Index since March is rewarding options traders who bet on a surge in volatility
with gains of 75 percent. 'It’s been a nice shift for some people,' said Justin
Golden, a strategist at New York-based Macro Risk Advisors LLC, which advises
institutions on equity derivatives. 'Before this week, the long options
community had been very frustrated. Volatility has been on a downward path.'”
... |
|

|
01/21/2010Berkshire Share Split May Give Short-Term Holders Price
Power"'Though a split just changes the dollar value and
shouldn’t have a large effect on the stock’s valuation, the psychological change
can often have a large impact,' said Dean Curnutt, Gabe Catala and other
analysts at Macro Risk Advisors LLC in a research note yesterday. 'The stock
will be much more accessible to retail investors.'"... |
|

|
01/19/2010Healthcare Call Options Jump on Bets Industry Overhaul to
Stall"'Option traders are buying calls on the XLV and that’s
been a recurring theme since last fall,' said Justin Golden, a strategist at New
York-based Macro Risk Advisors LLC, which advises institutions on derivatives
trades. 'The flow continues to be bullish given the overwhelming number of call
options being bought in the healthcare space.'”... |
|

|
01/2010Market uncertainty and volatility influences investor risk
appetite"The unprecedented degree of stimulus and support for
markets has created false confidence by removing some perceived tail-risk from
the markets. The rally in 2009 largely reflects the actions of investors who
have ultimately been forced back into the market as a result of ultra-low
short-term interest rates. The effects of this carry trade see no geographic
boundaries as the dollar has made its way into coffers around the globe. Until
the Fed changes its positioning and signals that rate hikes are imminent, the
rally can continue. However, investors must proceed with caution. Should
liquidity conditions become less favourable, we fear an exodus from risk assets
could result in a highly correlated market shock to the downside. In addition to
the potential for a widespread carry trade unwind, a host of looming risks could
surprise investors before the US Federal Reserve changes its policies. For these
reasons we recommend investors utilise the protection afforded by the options
market when expressing views. The list of unknowns is high and we expect
elevated volatility levels for quite some time." ... |